Big ol' romslut ([info]mia_d) wrote,
@ 2008-04-01 11:12:00
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50% of all marriages in the US end in divorce- or do they?



Judge Judy and others have quoted the much-quoted statistic that says that 50% of all marriages in the US end in divorce. I feel compelled to point out how misleading and meaningless this statistic COULD be.



I DO NOT KNOW THIS FOR A FACT, I'M JUST ASKING



DOES IT COUNT:



1. People who got married in 1990 or earlier. A group of people MOST LIKELY TO STAY MARRIED.



2. Immigrants who got married BEFORE moving to the US. A group of people MOST LIKELY TO STAY MARRIED.



3. People who live in US but got married elsewhere.

Descendant of Immigrants who got married in the 'old country' so friends and relatives left behide could attend.

Armed Service people who married overseas because that was where he/she/both were serving.

Anybody else who married outside of US because it was cheaper, easier, romantic, whatever.



5. Religious People, who because of their beliefs married without a license. (Which is probably illegal, but I bet the authorities look the other way, sometimes.)

A group of people MOST LIKELY TO STAY MARRIED.



6.People who live in small or mid-sized towns where the local county or district issued the license. SHOULD have been counted. Did the snobs doing this survey bother? I, a city dweller, know how most city dweller look down on people who live in more rural areas. A group of people MOST LIKELY TO STAY MARRIED.


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[info]graymalkn
2008-04-01 04:19 pm UTC (link)
(Some of) the answers you seek are here.

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[info]grunzen
2008-04-01 11:11 pm UTC (link)
This is the exact post I was going reply with here. Kudos! :)

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[info]caminante
2008-04-01 04:45 pm UTC (link)
The problems with the survey make sense when you understand when and why said survey is most often brought up.

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[info]kookbox
2008-04-01 05:15 pm UTC (link)
Yeah, it's a pretty classic example of how to lie with statistics. If I recall correctly, the biggest problem is that they measured, oh, let's call it 1990, and just counted 1990's marriages against 1990's divorces. The pretty obvious problem, though, is that some of the people who got divorced in 1990 were married twenty years ago.

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